Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 168.203384 198.766511 235.939587 285.357497 350.725191 4.363615e+02 5.608871e+02
2025-01-26 136.580086 175.593590 229.500909 313.037101 446.791872 6.688685e+02 1.110850e+03
2025-02-02 124.181204 169.615523 238.654601 359.673972 589.105988 1.072131e+03 2.475861e+03
2025-02-09 106.600904 150.834376 221.983861 356.812343 643.590924 1.366647e+03 4.344066e+03
2025-02-16 95.369833 139.053005 212.866424 362.923473 719.182729 1.804913e+03 8.827786e+03
2025-02-23 86.832075 129.848995 205.673295 369.745914 801.630521 2.403787e+03 2.161697e+04
2025-03-02 80.507293 123.199807 201.451697 381.185723 906.182673 3.334759e+03 8.672310e+04
2025-03-09 74.506965 116.140501 194.907173 385.056635 993.587693 4.490126e+03 1.060637e+06
2025-03-16 67.908926 107.106330 182.789763 371.571569 1014.657474 5.366289e+03 NaN
2025-03-23 64.835396 104.161697 182.585433 388.860340 1169.922037 8.395831e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 59.364029 96.047904 170.120658 369.068022 1155.736343 9.561645e+03 NaN
2025-04-06 56.132363 91.908910 165.697202 371.157619 1248.666512 1.372683e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 51.985176 85.999510 157.458983 362.893053 1304.774082 1.947799e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 50.947564 86.211457 163.395253 402.083432 1702.429406 7.123572e+04 NaN
2025-04-27 51.046153 88.727693 175.386512 469.205993 2507.989042 6.302610e+06 NaN
2025-05-04 47.954868 84.116831 168.707546 465.045763 2723.392421 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 45.706303 81.071625 165.553464 473.936919 3136.308688 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.714004 78.367102 162.835931 483.891839 3643.296194 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 42.111815 76.356654 161.663588 500.651962 4395.424349 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 40.320110 73.733655 158.349157 506.342212 5053.271983 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 38.000663 69.699385 150.436924 486.560873 5093.467496 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 37.040559 68.727390 151.270985 511.943010 6559.220864 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 34.841590 64.674263 142.451321 482.901340 6235.934465 NaN NaN